The four scenarios present differing pathways to reach future societies where sustainable ways of living are supported. It is crucial to understand that the scenarios are not mutually exclusive. They are not an attempt to guess whether the future might look like one of the four pathways. Instead, the future will most probably materialise as a complex reality that combines elements from each of the scenarios.
In order to establish four scenarios that would differ from each other, we defined at the outset four future landscapes through which the scenarios would be constructed. This was done by combining the two critical variables, which we call uncertainties. The two uncertainties and assumptions about them underlining our work were
- Technology is either pandemic or endemic.
- Society’s governing principle is either human-centric or meritocratic.
Based on these assumptions, four scenarios including Singular Super Champions, Governing the Commons, Local Loops and Empathetic Communities, were created based on extensive expert input.